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Evaluating Evidence

By Irene T. Boland, PhD

Critical thinking is an essential skill that allows us to make informed decisions in all areas of life. Evaluating evidence objectively is a key component of sharpening our critical thinking abilities. This article will provide practical guidance on assessing the credibility of evidence and applying critical thought to filter truth from misinformation.

Understand the Source

When presented with a piece of evidence or information, the first step is to identify and scrutinize the source. Some key questions to ask:

  • Is the source an individual or organization? If so, what are their credentials and potential biases? An expert in the field will likely provide higher quality information than a random online commenter.
  • Is the evidence coming from a primary or secondary source? Primary sources like research papers and official reports tend to be more credible than secondary sources commenting on the primary research.
  • Is the source impartial? Information from sources with a vested interest or clear agenda should be more thoroughly verified through additional independent sources.
  • Does the source provide references or data to back up their assertions? Claims without factual back-up are less reliable.
  • What is the track record of this source? Sources that have proven to be accurate and balanced over time tend to inspire more confidence.

By carefully considering the source, you can determine if the information is likely to be objective and factual before further evaluating the actual evidence.

Check for Logical Fallacies

Logical fallacies are flaws in reasoning that weaken the credibility of an argument. Learning to identify logical fallacies allows you to filter out poor evidence and avoid being manipulated. Some examples of fallacies to watch out for:

  • Ad hominem – Attacking the character of the person making the argument rather than addressing the substance of their evidence. Example ad hominem: Jenna dismissed the evidence showing the new policy would help the economy, claiming it was unreliable because it came from a politician she distrusted.
  • Strawman argument – Misrepresenting an opposing position to more easily attack or discredit it.
    Example strawman argument: Miguel insisted Charlotte wanted to ban all guns when she suggested implementing background checks, even though her stance was more moderate.
  • False equivalence – Asserting that two things are equal when they are not comparable.
    Example false equivalence: Ryan argued that drinking caffeinated soda impaired his driving ability just as much as alcohol, insisting the effects were identical.
  • Confirmation bias – Favoring information that aligns with your existing beliefs while dismissing contradicting evidence.
    Example confirmation bias: Despite respected journals presenting concerning facts about his preferred candidate, Isaac dismissed them as propaganda and fake news because they didn’t align with his existing views.
  • Slippery slope argument – Making an extreme hypothetical prediction of doom without justification.
    Example slippery slope argument: Derek’s mom refused to let him attend a friend’s party, fearing it would lead to him failing school and becoming a reckless partier, without any real evidence to justify that prediction.

When you notice logical fallacies, ask clarifying questions to elicit stronger evidence rather than accepting weak assertions at face value. Recognizing fallacies takes practice, but prevents poor reasoning from slipping by undetected.

Look at the Methodology

For scientific or research-based evidence, examining the methodology provides insight into its validity. Some key factors to look at when assessing methodology:

  • Sample size – Were conclusions drawn from a sufficiently large and representative sample? Small sample sizes are less reliable.
  • Control group – Did the study have an appropriate control group for comparison and to isolate variables?
  • Peer review – Has the research been scrutinized by impartial experts prior to publication? Peer review adds credibility.
  • Reproducibility – Have the findings been replicated by other studies? One-off results should be viewed more cautiously.
  • Experimental design – Was the study experimental design robust enough to answer the research question and minimize bias?

By understanding the methodology strengths and limitations, you can determine how much credence to give the conclusions drawn from the evidence provided.

Consider Context and Relevance

Evidence does not exist in isolation. Forming an objective opinion requires examining the surrounding context and assessing relevance. Ask questions like:

  • When was the evidence or information generated? Is it still applicable in the current context? Outdated material may lack relevance.
  • Is the evidence presented fairly and in full context? Partial or decontextualized information can be misleading.
  • Who is the target audience? Evidence tailored for experts may require more interpretation when presented to a general audience.
  • Does the evidence directly relate to the argument or decision being made? Tangential or circumstantial evidence should carry less weight.
  • Are there cultural considerations that affect interpretation? Cultural biases shape arguments and evidence.

By considering context, you can determine if superficially strong evidence holds up under careful scrutiny and aligns with the specific situation at hand.

Put it to work

With practice, the ability to critically analyze evidence becomes an invaluable skill with many applications:

  • News literacy – Apply source checking, logic and context skills when consuming daily news to cut through partisan bias and misinformation. Seek objective, impartial reporting.
  • Research skills – Use critical thinking when comparing sources for academic research papers to select only the most robust, credible support for your thesis.
  • Investing decisions – Scrutinize financial reporting methodology, data sources and contextual relevance when reviewing evidence to make smart investment choices.
  • Medical information – Check credentials and impartiality of sources when researching health conditions to avoid unfounded claims. Look for peer-reviewed experimental evidence over anecdotes.
  • Consumer choices – Evaluate product claims against experimental evidence, scientific consensus and source neutrality.

Beware of emotional appeals using logical fallacies.
Any situation involving data analysis and decision making will benefit from employing critical thinking skills to filter high-quality evidence from the rest.

The Takeaway

In an information-saturated world, being able to objectively evaluate evidence is more crucial than ever. By developing a critical thinking toolkit, asking key questions, identifying logical fallacies, and considering context, we can assess the credibility of information and protect ourselves against manipulation. Just as important as gathering evidence, is understanding how to filter and interpret it effectively. Sharpen your critical thinking skills and you’ll find yourself making wise, informed choices rather than being swayed by every passing claim.

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